Sunday, June 06, 2004

More numbers from the mid-May Binder poll commissioned by SFSOS (600 likely voters, 4 percent margin of error):
Mayor Gavin Newsom's favorability rating was broken down on a scale of 1-7, with voters identifying themselves as a "7" being the most liberal.
In the most progressive group, Newsom's approval rating was 76/20 (35.6 strongly, 40.2 somewhat). That groups leans more strongly towards "somewhat favorable" than the general population.
His highest approval rating came from those who identified themselves as a 5 or 6, and those at 4, the moderates. Those groups tied at 88/8.
Among conservatives, those identifying themselves at 1-3, his approval rating was 82.
The general number was 85, and the poll found a reversal from December, when Newsom had "real weaknesses" among progressive voters.Also in SFSOS' December poll, Newsom was weakest with those under 39 years old. Under-30 voters are now at 85/10, a 40 percent swing in six months. In May, he polled at 85.1/10 in the 30-39 demographic.
The right-track, wrong-track number accounts for voter's overall satisfaction with the mayor and the Board of Supervisors. On that question, 66 said "right, 21 percent wrong, and 13 "don't know." That too is a full pendulum swing, from SFSOS' mid-election poll nine months ago.
Among "top voter concerns," crime has edged up to 18 percent, with the number coming mostly from districts 10 and 11. D11 is the most discontented district, 43/29 on the "right-track, wrong-track" question.

No comments:

Post a Comment